High-Performance Composites

JAN 2013

High-Performance Composites is read by qualified composites industry professionals in the fields of continuous carbon fiber and other high-performance composites as well as the associated end-markets of aerospace, military, and automotive.

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show coverage conference revIew colocated with the aircraft interiors expo americas, compositesWorld���s high-performance composites for aircraft interiors conference focused on ways to get more composites inside the aircraft. By Karen Wood H 10000000 eld Sept. 25-26 in Seattle���s Washington State Convention Center, CompositesWorld���s HighPerformance Composites for Aircraft Interiors conference included frank discussion of the potential for composites to build its share in this competitive and complicated arena. Cochaired by David Leach, composites market manager, Henkel Aerospace (Bay Point, Calif.), and Dan Slaton, associate technical fellow, Boeing Commercial Airplanes, Flammability and Airworthiness (Seattle, Wash.), the event was kicked off by composites market analyst Chris Red (Composites Forecasts and Consulting LLC, Mesa, Ariz.), who presented an outlook for composite materials and manufacturing in commercial transport interiors. 9000000 8000000 7000000 source: composites forecasts and consulting LLc 6000000 5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 2005 Airbus 2007 Boeing 2009 ATR 2011 2013 Bombardier 2015 Embraer 2017 Comac 2019 2021 Mitsubishi��MRJ OAK Forecast: New-build Interiors presenter chris red (composites forecasts and consulting LLc, mesa, ariz.) said the new-build market represents about 6 million lb (2,722 metric tonnes) of composite components annually, and approximately 16,250 new aircraft are scheduled for delivery between 2012 and 2022. By the time the airbus a350 and Bombardier CSeries enter production, the oem market could grow by at least 50 percent compared to 2012. 100% 1,260 1,731 77 234 67 80% 53 376 363 346 70% 60% 1,205 746 50% 548 40% 30% 388 Twin���Aisle��Jet Single���Aisle��Jet Regional��Jets Forecast: Aftermarket Interiors 2018 2016 2014 116 2012 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 0% Jumbo��Jet 491 167 2022 228 2020 61 10% 2010 20% 1990 source: composites forecasts and consulting LLc 90% 2,241 Regional�� Turboprop aftermarket potential, driven by replacement cycles and economic conditions, is more difficult to calculate than that of new-build programs. generally, passenger seating is replaced every one to two years. paneling, class dividers and other major components are turned over every four years. complete cabin refurbishments take place every six to eight years. 20 | high-performance composites Interiors market: The inside story Red pointed out that for composite materials and manufacturing processes, aircraft interiors actually represent a larger market (by volume) than airframe structures. Interior components account for as much as 40 percent of the commercial airliner���s empty operating weight. He assured attendees that there is room for composites to penetrate further. Red broke the interiors market into two distinctly different segments: the OEM-driven new-build market and the much more volatile ��� and two to three times larger ��� aftermarket. The new-build market, says Red, currently represents about 6 million lb (2,722 metric tonnes) of composite components annually. ���By the time the [Airbus] A350 and [Bombardier] CSeries ��� and other new single-aisle aircraft enter production,��� he reported, ���the OEM market is expected to grow at least 50 percent compared to this year.��� The aftermarket potential, driven by replacement cycles and economic conditions, is more dif���cult to calculate, he said. Generally, passenger seating is replaced every one to two years. Paneling, class dividers and other major components are turned over every four years. Complete cabin refurbishments take place every six to eight years. ���Given the tough ���scal environment, the tendency has been to push these time frames as long as possible,��� said Red of the period since the 2008 economic downturn. ���However, in the past ���ve ���scal quarters,��� he observed, ���latent demand has caused a dramatic upswing in activity.��� ���Seats represent one of the biggest near-term opportunities,��� Red contended, adding that new and re-

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